Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar predictions — Eredivisie, 16 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Ajax favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. AZ Alkmaar have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 0 Ajax wins, 5 AZ Alkmaar wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals.