Segunda División predictions
Spain · second tier · 22 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Segunda División match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Segunda División in the Bet Finder.
This week's Segunda División fixtures
- 11 Sept · 19:30BurgosvAD Ceuta FCNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 13:00FC AndorravReal Sociedad IINo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 15:15CadizvLas PalmasNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 17:30GironavCastellónNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 17:30Granada CFvAlbaceteNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 20:00CordobavAlmeriaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 13:00Sporting GijonvEldenseNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:15ValladolidvOviedoNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 17:30MallorcavSabadellNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 20:00TenerifevLeganesNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 19:30Celta de Vigo IIvEibarNo pick yet
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 10 | |
| 2 |  Eibar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 | |
| 3 |  Sabadell | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 8 | |
| 4 |  Leganes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 8 | |
| 5 |  Girona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 7 | |
| 6 |  Celta de Vigo II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 | |
| 7 |  Mallorca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | |
| 8 |  Tenerife | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 9 |  Granada CF | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Sporting Gijon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 12 |  Almeria | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Burgos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Oviedo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | |
| 18 |  Cadiz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | |
| 19 |  Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | |
| 20 |  Eldense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 | |
| 21 |  Albacete | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 |
- Promotion - LaLiga
- Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
- Relegation
Official Segunda División table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Segunda División record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 61.3% | 33.3% | -28.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 82.4% | 66.7% | -15.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 57.7% | 0.0% | -57.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Segunda División matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Segunda División results
- 7 Sept · 19:30Sabadell3-2CordobaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 20:00Almeria3-2CadizHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 17:30Castellón2-0AlbaceteNo pick
- 6 Sept · 15:15Oviedo0-0BurgosNo pick
- 6 Sept · 13:00Eibar3-0Granada CFHome or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 20:00Eldense0-0MallorcaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:30Valladolid1-0FC AndorraNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:30AD Ceuta FC0-2Celta de Vigo IINo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:15Sporting Gijon0-2GironaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 13:00Real Sociedad II1-1TenerifeDraw✓
About Segunda División
Segunda División is the second tier of Spain football with 22 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.27 goals per game over 44 matches: both teams scored in 39%, 39% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 46% with 27% drawn. Castellón lead the table on 10 points from 4 games.
How the model handles Segunda División
Every Segunda División fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 10 Segunda División tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 73.6% on average and landing 50.0%. Its best-calibrated Segunda División market so far is home or draw (82.4% claimed against 66.7% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Segunda División predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Segunda División table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Segunda División market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Segunda División tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.4% claimed against 66.7% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Segunda División fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Segunda División by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.