Segunda División predictions
Spain · second tier · 22 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Segunda División match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Segunda División in the Bet Finder.
This week's Segunda División fixtures
- 25 Oct · 13:00SabadellvTenerifeNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 15:15AlbacetevEldenseNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 15:15CadizvAD Ceuta FCNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 17:30CastellónvSporting GijonNo pick yet
- 26 Oct · 19:30FC AndorravBurgosNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 13:00Real Sociedad IIvGironaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 15:15EibarvAlmeriaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 17:30Celta de Vigo IIvCordobaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 20:00AlbacetevSabadellNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:00EldensevGranada CFNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 15:15AD Ceuta FCvSporting GijonNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 17:30BurgosvCastellónNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 20:00TenerifevFC AndorraNo pick yet
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 23 | |
| 3 |  Eibar | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Girona | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 | |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 19 | |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 19 | |
| 8 |  Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 | |
| 9 |  Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 | |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 | |
| 12 |  Eldense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 14 | |
| 13 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 | |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 | |
| 15 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 12 | |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 12 | |
| 17 |  Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 12 | |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 | |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 5 | |
| 22 |  Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 22 | -16 | 1 |
- Promotion - LaLiga
- Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
- Relegation
Official Segunda División table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Segunda División record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 8 | 61.0% | 62.5% | +1.5 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 16 | 82.4% | 81.3% | -1.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 2 | 58.2% | 50.0% | -8.2 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Segunda División matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Segunda División results
- 24 Oct · 20:00Almeria2-2OviedoNo pick
- 24 Oct · 17:30Las Palmas1-0Real Sociedad IINo pick
- 24 Oct · 17:30Girona5-1Celta de Vigo IIHome Win✓
- 24 Oct · 15:15Leganes1-1MallorcaNo pick
- 24 Oct · 13:00Cordoba2-0EibarNo pick
- 23 Oct · 19:30Granada CF2-1ValladolidNo pick
- 19 Oct · 19:30Celta de Vigo II1-1TenerifeNo pick
- 18 Oct · 20:00Burgos1-0SabadellNo pick
- 18 Oct · 17:30Valladolid2-3EldenseNo pick
- 18 Oct · 17:30Girona2-0FC AndorraHome or Draw✓
About Segunda División
Segunda División is the second tier of Spain football with 22 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.67 goals per game over 116 matches: both teams scored in 51%, 49% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 46% with 22% drawn. Almeria lead the table on 25 points from 11 games.
How the model handles Segunda División
Every Segunda División fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 26 Segunda División tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 74.0% on average and landing 73.1%. Its best-calibrated Segunda División market so far is home or draw (82.4% claimed against 81.3% hit over 16 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Segunda División predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Segunda División table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Segunda División market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Segunda División tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.4% claimed against 81.3% hit over 16 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Segunda División fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Segunda División by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.