Primera División Femenina predictions
Spain · third tier · 16 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Primera División Femenina match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Primera División Femenina in the Bet Finder.
This week's Primera División Femenina fixtures
- 11 Sept · 19:45Deportivo de La Coruña WvReal Madrid WAway or DrawStrong
- 12 Sept · 11:00Athletic Club WvEspanyol WNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 15:30Madrid CFF WvSevilla WOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 18:00Barcelona WvAtletico Madrid WOver 1.5Strong
- 13 Sept · 11:00Deportivo Alavés WvGranadaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 11:00Real Sociedad WvGranad. Tenerife WNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:00Edf Logrono WvValencia WHome or DrawModerate
- 13 Sept · 18:30Eibar WvFC Levante Badalona WNo pick yet
Primera División Femenina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | +9 | 6 | |
| 2 |  Madrid CFF W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | |
| 3 |  Athletic Club W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 4 |  Real Madrid W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 5 |  Eibar W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 6 |  Edf Logrono W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 |  Deportivo Alavés W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 |  Atletico Madrid W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 9 |  Granada | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 10 |  FC Levante Badalona W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 11 |  Sevilla W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 12 |  Deportivo de La Coruña W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 13 |  Granad. Tenerife W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 1 | |
| 14 |  Espanyol W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Valencia W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
- CL women
- women Qualifying
- Relegation
Official Primera División Femenina table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Primera División Femenina record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 6 | 68.2% | 50.0% | -18.2 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 84.7% | 83.3% | -1.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 69.6% | 100.0% | +30.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 82.5% | 100.0% | +17.5 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 7 | 65.1% | 57.1% | -8.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Primera División Femenina matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Primera División Femenina results
- 7 Sept · 18:30Granada3-2Real Sociedad WOver 2.5✓
- 6 Sept · 19:30Real Madrid W0-0Eibar WHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 17:30Edf Logrono W0-1Athletic Club WNo pick
- 6 Sept · 11:45Granad. Tenerife W0-0Deportivo de La Coruña WHome Win✗
- 6 Sept · 11:00Atletico Madrid W1-0Deportivo Alavés WHome or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 19:30Sevilla W0-4Barcelona WAway or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 11:00Valencia W1-3Madrid CFF WNo pick
- 5 Sept · 11:00Espanyol W0-1FC Levante Badalona WNo pick
- 30 Aug · 20:00Real Madrid W3-2Atletico Madrid WOver 2.5✓
- 30 Aug · 18:00Barcelona W5-0Granad. Tenerife WOver 2.5✓
About Primera División Femenina
Primera División Femenina is the third tier of Spain football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.50 goals per game over 16 matches: both teams scored in 31%, 44% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 13% drawn. Barcelona W lead the table on 6 points from 2 games.
How the model handles Primera División Femenina
Every Primera División Femenina fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 21 Primera División Femenina tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.6% on average and landing 66.6%. Its best-calibrated Primera División Femenina market so far is home or draw (84.7% claimed against 83.3% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Primera División Femenina predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Primera División Femenina table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Primera División Femenina market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Primera División Femenina tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 84.7% claimed against 83.3% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Primera División Femenina fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Primera División Femenina by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.