Super Liga predictions
Slovakia · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 14 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Super Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super Liga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Super Liga fixtures
- 19 Sept · 17:00FK KošicevRužomberokOver 2.5Moderate
- 19 Sept · 17:00Zemplín MichalovcevDukla Banská BystricaNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 17:00ŽilinavAS TrencinHome WinModerate
- 19 Sept · 19:30KomárnovSlovan BratislavaAway or DrawSolid
- 20 Sept · 16:00SkalicavPodbrezováNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 18:00Dunajska StredavSpartak TrnavaNo pick yet
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dunajska Streda | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 3 | +20 | 19 | |
| 2 |  Spartak Trnava | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Žilina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 17 | |
| 4 |  Slovan Bratislava | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Podbrezová | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 | |
| 6 |  Zemplín Michalovce | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 7 |  FK Košice | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 9 | |
| 8 |  Skalica | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Dukla Banská Bystrica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Komárno | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 | |
| 11 |  Ružomberok | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 5 | |
| 12 |  AS Trencin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
- Promotion - Nike liga (Championship Group)
- Nike liga (Relegation Group)
Official Super Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-14.
This season in numbers
The model's Super Liga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 61.7% | 71.4% | +9.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 83.6% | 80.0% | -3.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 53.7% | 100.0% | +46.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 77.2% | 100.0% | +22.8 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 14 | 60.6% | 78.6% | +18.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Super Liga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Super Liga results
- 13 Sept · 18:00Slovan Bratislava3-3ŽilinaNo pick
- 13 Sept · 16:00Podbrezová1-1KomárnoOver 2.5✗
- 12 Sept · 19:30Spartak Trnava5-2FK KošiceNo pick
- 12 Sept · 17:00AS Trencin1-4Dunajska StredaNo pick
- 12 Sept · 17:00Ružomberok3-0Zemplín MichalovceNo pick
- 12 Sept · 17:00Dukla Banská Bystrica3-2SkalicaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 18:00Ružomberok1-1Spartak TrnavaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 16:00FK Košice3-0Dukla Banská BystricaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 19:30Dunajska Streda2-0Slovan BratislavaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:00Žilina3-1PodbrezováOver 2.5✓
About Super Liga
Super Liga is the top flight of Slovakia football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.57 goals per game over 46 matches: both teams scored in 63%, 70% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 41% with 26% drawn. Dunajska Streda lead the table on 19 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Super Liga
Every Super Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 28 Super Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 65.3% on average and landing 78.6%. Its best-calibrated Super Liga market so far is home or draw (83.6% claimed against 80.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Super Liga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Super Liga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Super Liga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Super Liga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 83.6% claimed against 80.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Super Liga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Super Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.