Super Liga predictions
Slovakia · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 30 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Super Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super Liga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Super Liga fixtures
- 1 Nov · 14:30RužomberokvSkalicaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 17:00Dukla Banská BystricavDunajska StredaAway or DrawStrong
- 7 Nov · 14:30Dukla Banská BystricavSpartak TrnavaNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 14:30SkalicavŽilinaNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 14:30Slovan BratislavavAS TrencinNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 17:00Dunajska StredavFK KošiceNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 14:30PodbrezovávRužomberokNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 17:00KomárnovZemplín MichalovceNo pick yet
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dunajska Streda | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 7 | +30 | 32 | |
| 2 |  Slovan Bratislava | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Spartak Trnava | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Žilina | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Podbrezová | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 | |
| 6 |  FK Košice | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 15 | |
| 7 |  Zemplín Michalovce | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 | |
| 8 |  Dukla Banská Bystrica | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 | |
| 9 |  Skalica | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 | |
| 10 |  AS Trencin | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Ružomberok | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 9 | |
| 12 |  Komárno | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
- Promotion - Nike liga (Championship Group)
- Nike liga (Relegation Group)
Official Super Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-30.
This season in numbers
The model's Super Liga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 10 | 63.5% | 60.0% | -3.5 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 9 | 83.4% | 77.8% | -5.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 7 | 57.2% | 71.4% | +14.2 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 7 | 79.3% | 100.0% | +20.7 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 22 | 60.3% | 68.2% | +7.9 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Super Liga matches since 3 Augwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Super Liga results
- 31 Oct · 17:00Podbrezová1-2Slovan BratislavaAway or Draw✓
- 31 Oct · 14:30Žilina4-1Zemplín MichalovceHome or Draw✓
- 31 Oct · 14:30Spartak Trnava1-2KomárnoHome or Draw✗
- 31 Oct · 14:30AS Trencin0-5FK KošiceNo pick
- 28 Oct · 17:00AS Trencin0-2Slovan BratislavaAway or Draw✓
- 28 Oct · 17:00FK Košice0-1Dunajska StredaAway or Draw✓
- 25 Oct · 17:00FK Košice2-2ŽilinaNo pick
- 25 Oct · 14:30Komárno0-0AS TrencinNo pick
- 24 Oct · 18:00Dunajska Streda5-0RužomberokHome or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 17:00Skalica1-1Spartak TrnavaAway or Draw✓
About Super Liga
Super Liga is the top flight of Slovakia football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.25 goals per game over 76 matches: both teams scored in 59%, 63% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 33% with 28% drawn. Dunajska Streda lead the table on 32 points from 12 games.
How the model handles Super Liga
Every Super Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 169+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 3 Aug, the model has settled 55 Super Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 66.7% on average and landing 72.7%. Its best-calibrated Super Liga market so far is home win (63.5% claimed against 60.0% hit over 10 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Super Liga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Super Liga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Super Liga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Super Liga tips since 3 Aug, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 63.5% claimed against 60.0% hit over 10 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Super Liga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. The exact probabilities are on each fixture page. To filter Super Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.