
2. Liga predictions
Slovakia · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 31 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Liga in the Bet Finder.
This week's 2. Liga fixtures
- 1 Nov · 9:30PetržalkavPovažská BystricaHome WinModerate
- 6 Nov · 16:00PohronievBaník Lehota p.VtáčnikomNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 12:00Inter BratislavavPovažská BystricaNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 12:00Lokomotíva ZvolenvGalantaNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 12:00MalženicevŠamorínNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00Zlaté MoravcevSlovan Bratislava IINo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 17:00Tatran PrešovvHumennéNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 9:30PetržalkavŽilina IINo pick yet
2. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Šamorín | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | +11 | 32 | |
| 2 | Petržalka | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 30 | |
| 3 | Považská Bystrica | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 24 | +4 | 26 | |
| 4 | Pohronie | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | +4 | 24 | |
| 5 | Žilina II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 24 | |
| 6 | Galanta | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 | |
| 7 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 22 | |
| 8 | Tatran Prešov | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 | |
| 9 | Inter Bratislava | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 19 | +12 | 21 | |
| 10 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 | |
| 11 | Slovan Bratislava II | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 | |
| 12 | Malženice | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 15 | |
| 13 | Zlaté Moravce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 | |
| 14 | Humenné | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 | |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 9 | |
| 16 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 6 |
Official 2. Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-31.
This season in numbers
The model's 2. Liga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 14 | 61.5% | 57.1% | -4.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 10 | 82.2% | 90.0% | +7.8 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 50.3% | 0.0% | -50.3 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 73.6% | 100.0% | +26.4 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 32 | 59.9% | 71.9% | +12.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 7 | 63.2% | 57.1% | -6.1 |
Settled 2. Liga matches since 3 Augwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 2. Liga results
- 31 Oct · 17:00Tatran Prešov3-0GalantaBTTS✗
- 31 Oct · 14:00Zlaté Moravce0-0ŠamorínAway or Draw✓
- 31 Oct · 12:00Lokomotíva Zvolen5-0MFK BytčaNo pick
- 31 Oct · 12:00Inter Bratislava2-3Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomOver 2.5✓
- 31 Oct · 12:00Humenné2-2MalženiceNo pick
- 30 Oct · 16:00Pohronie1-1Slovan Bratislava IIBTTS✓
- 30 Oct · 15:00Liptovský Mikuláš3-2Žilina IINo pick
- 25 Oct · 10:00Slovan Bratislava II2-2Inter BratislavaNo pick
- 25 Oct · 9:30Žilina II2-1Lokomotíva ZvolenHome or Draw✓
- 25 Oct · 9:30Malženice3-0Zlaté MoravceNo pick
About 2. Liga
2. Liga is the second tier of Slovakia football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.91 goals per game over 119 matches: both teams scored in 58%, 60% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 48% with 24% drawn. Šamorín lead the table on 32 points from 14 games.
How the model handles 2. Liga
Every 2. Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 169+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 3 Aug, the model has settled 65 2. Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 64.1% on average and landing 69.2%. Its best-calibrated 2. Liga market so far is home win (61.5% claimed against 57.1% hit over 14 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 2. Liga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 2. Liga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 2. Liga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 2. Liga tips since 3 Aug, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 61.5% claimed against 57.1% hit over 14 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 2. Liga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. The exact probabilities are on each fixture page. To filter 2. Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.















