2. Liga predictions
Slovakia · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 15 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Liga in the Bet Finder.
This week's 2. Liga fixtures
- 18 Sept · 17:00Liptovský MikulášvZlaté MoravceNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 14:30HumennévInter BratislavaNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 14:30MFK BytčavBaník Lehota p.VtáčnikomNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 14:30Lokomotíva ZvolenvMalženiceNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 17:00Tatran PrešovvŠamorínNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 9:30Žilina IIvPovažská BystricaNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 14:30GalantavSlovan Bratislava IINo pick yet
- 21 Sept · 16:00PetržalkavPohronieNo pick yet
2. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Petržalka | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Šamorín | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 21 | |
| 3 |  Pohronie | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Považská Bystrica | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 16 | |
| 5 |  Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Žilina II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Tatran Prešov | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Inter Bratislava | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Zlaté Moravce | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Galanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 10 | |
| 11 |  Liptovský Mikuláš | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 9 | |
| 12 |  Slovan Bratislava II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 | |
| 13 |  Malženice | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 14 |  Humenné | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 | |
| 15 |  Lokomotíva Zvolen | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | |
| 16 |  MFK Bytča | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 3 |
Official 2. Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-15.
This season in numbers
The model's 2. Liga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 6 | 61.2% | 66.7% | +5.5 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 5 | 81.3% | 80.0% | -1.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 19 | 59.4% | 68.4% | +9.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled 2. Liga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 2. Liga results
- 14 Sept · 16:00Zlaté Moravce4-0Lokomotíva ZvolenNo pick
- 13 Sept · 9:30Slovan Bratislava II2-0MFK BytčaOver 2.5✗
- 13 Sept · 9:30Malženice0-1Tatran PrešovNo pick
- 12 Sept · 15:00Šamorín3-2GalantaOver 2.5✓
- 12 Sept · 15:00Považská Bystrica2-1HumennéHome Win✓
- 12 Sept · 15:00Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom1-0Žilina IINo pick
- 12 Sept · 15:00Inter Bratislava4-0PetržalkaNo pick
- 11 Sept · 16:00Pohronie2-0Liptovský MikulášNo pick
- 7 Sept · 16:00Žilina II2-0Slovan Bratislava IIOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 17:00Tatran Prešov0-1Zlaté MoravceHome Win✗
About 2. Liga
2. Liga is the second tier of Slovakia football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.78 goals per game over 64 matches: both teams scored in 52%, 56% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 53% with 17% drawn. Petržalka lead the table on 21 points from 8 games.
How the model handles 2. Liga
Every 2. Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 30 2. Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 63.4% on average and landing 70.0%. Its best-calibrated 2. Liga market so far is home or draw (81.3% claimed against 80.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 2. Liga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 2. Liga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 2. Liga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 2. Liga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 81.3% claimed against 80.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 2. Liga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 2. Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.