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2. Liga predictions

Slovakia · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 31 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Liga in the Bet Finder.

This week's 2. Liga fixtures

2. Liga table

#TeamPGDPts
1Šamorín14+1132
2Petržalka14+1330
3Považská Bystrica14+426
4Pohronie15+424
5Žilina II15+324
6Galanta14023
7Liptovský Mikuláš15+422
8Tatran Prešov14+222
9Inter Bratislava14+1221
10Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom14-119
11Slovan Bratislava II15+218
12Malženice14-215
13Zlaté Moravce14-513
14Humenné14-1112
15MFK Bytča14-229
16Lokomotíva Zvolen14-146

Official 2. Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-31.

This season in numbers

2.91
goals per game (119 matches)
58%
both teams scored
60%
over 2.5 goals
81%
over 1.5 goals
32%
over 3.5 goals
48%
home wins
24%
draws
29%
away wins

The model's 2. Liga record

MarketTipsClaimedHitGap
Home win≥ 57%1461.5%57.1%-4.4
Home or draw≥ 80%1082.2%90.0%+7.8
Away win≥ 50%150.3%0.0%-50.3
Away or draw≥ 73%173.6%100.0%+26.4
Over 2.5≥ 57%3259.9%71.9%+12.0
BTTS≥ 63%763.2%57.1%-6.1

Settled 2. Liga matches since 3 Augwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent 2. Liga results

About 2. Liga

2. Liga is the second tier of Slovakia football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.91 goals per game over 119 matches: both teams scored in 58%, 60% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 48% with 24% drawn. Šamorín lead the table on 32 points from 14 games.

How the model handles 2. Liga

Every 2. Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 169+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 3 Aug, the model has settled 65 2. Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 64.1% on average and landing 69.2%. Its best-calibrated 2. Liga market so far is home win (61.5% claimed against 57.1% hit over 14 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these 2. Liga predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the 2. Liga table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which 2. Liga market is the model most reliable in?
On settled 2. Liga tips since 3 Aug, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 61.5% claimed against 57.1% hit over 14 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are 2. Liga fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. The exact probabilities are on each fixture page. To filter 2. Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.

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