Eredivisie Women predictions
Netherlands · third tier · 10 teams · table updated 7 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Eredivisie Women match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Eredivisie Women in the Bet Finder.
This week's Eredivisie Women fixtures
Eredivisie Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Twente W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 9 | |
| 2 |  AZ W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 3 |  Ajax W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 | |
| 4 |  PSV/Eindhoven W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 7 | |
| 5 |  De Graafschap W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 6 |  ADO Den Haag W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | |
| 7 |  Feyenoord W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | |
| 8 |  Utrecht W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 9 |  PEC Zwolle W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Heerenveen W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
Official Eredivisie Women table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-07.
This season in numbers
The model's Eredivisie Women record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 74.0% | 66.7% | -7.3 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 3 | 87.2% | 100.0% | +12.8 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 3 | 61.4% | 100.0% | +38.6 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 3 | 80.7% | 100.0% | +19.3 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 7 | 67.6% | 42.9% | -24.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 1 | 64.6% | 0.0% | -64.6 |
Settled Eredivisie Women matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Eredivisie Women results
- 6 Sept · 15:45Twente W5-1Heerenveen WHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 15:45PEC Zwolle W2-4ADO Den Haag WNo pick
- 6 Sept · 15:45AZ W1-0Utrecht WOver 2.5✗
- 6 Sept · 15:45Ajax W1-0De Graafschap WNo pick
- 6 Sept · 11:15Feyenoord W0-6PSV/Eindhoven WNo pick
- 23 Aug · 15:45ADO Den Haag W1-7Twente WAway or Draw✓
- 23 Aug · 11:15De Graafschap W1-0Heerenveen WNo pick
- 22 Aug · 15:30Feyenoord W1-2AZ WNo pick
- 22 Aug · 15:30Ajax W1-0PEC Zwolle WHome or Draw✓
- 22 Aug · 13:00PSV/Eindhoven W1-1Utrecht WHome or Draw✓
About Eredivisie Women
Eredivisie Women is the third tier of Netherlands football with 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.13 goals per game over 15 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 53% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 47% with 7% drawn. Twente W lead the table on 9 points from 3 games.
How the model handles Eredivisie Women
Every Eredivisie Women fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 20 Eredivisie Women tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.4% on average and landing 70.0%. Its best-calibrated Eredivisie Women market so far is over 2.5 (67.6% claimed against 42.9% hit over 7 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Eredivisie Women predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Eredivisie Women table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Eredivisie Women market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Eredivisie Women tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 67.6% claimed against 42.9% hit over 7 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Eredivisie Women fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Eredivisie Women by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.