Feminine Division 1 predictions
France · fourth tier · 12 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Feminine Division 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Feminine Division 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Feminine Division 1 fixtures
Feminine Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | +33 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Paris FC W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Marseille W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | |
| 5 |  Nantes W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 | |
| 6 |  Le Havre W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 | |
| 7 |  Strasbourg W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 | |
| 8 |  Montpellier W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | |
| 9 |  FC Fleury 91 W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 | |
| 10 |  Saint-Malo W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | |
| 11 |  Lens W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | |
| 12 |  Toulouse W | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 1 |
- Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
- Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women
Official Feminine Division 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Feminine Division 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 71.4% | 100.0% | +28.6 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 6 | 86.8% | 100.0% | +13.2 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 5 | 66.8% | 100.0% | +33.2 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 5 | 81.5% | 100.0% | +18.5 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 15 | 65.4% | 46.7% | -18.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Feminine Division 1 matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Feminine Division 1 results
- 24 Oct · 20:00Lyon W5-0Marseille WOver 2.5✓
- 24 Oct · 17:00Le Havre W0-0Lens WNo pick
- 24 Oct · 17:00Nantes W3-2Strasbourg WNo pick
- 23 Oct · 20:05Paris Saint Germain W1-0Montpellier WOver 2.5✗
- 18 Oct · 12:00Marseille W2-2FC Fleury 91 WOver 2.5✓
- 17 Oct · 20:05Paris Saint Germain W0-4Lyon WNo pick
- 17 Oct · 17:00Lens W1-3Strasbourg WNo pick
- 17 Oct · 17:00Toulouse W0-4Paris FC WNo pick
- 17 Oct · 17:00Saint-Malo W0-2Nantes WNo pick
- 17 Oct · 17:00Montpellier W1-1Le Havre WOver 2.5✗
About Feminine Division 1
Feminine Division 1 is the fourth tier of France football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.41 goals per game over 34 matches: both teams scored in 50%, 53% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 44% with 24% drawn. Lyon W lead the table on 18 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Feminine Division 1
Every Feminine Division 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 38 Feminine Division 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.2% on average and landing 79.0%. Its best-calibrated Feminine Division 1 market so far is home or draw (86.8% claimed against 100.0% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Feminine Division 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Feminine Division 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Feminine Division 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Feminine Division 1 tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 86.8% claimed against 100.0% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Feminine Division 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Feminine Division 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.