Serie D predictions
Brazil · fifth tier · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Serie D match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Serie D in the Bet Finder.
This week's Serie D fixtures
Serie D table
Group 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manauara | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 22 | |
| 2 |  Nacional AM | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 20 | |
| 3 |  Sao Raimundo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Monte Roraima | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 | |
| 5 |  Manaus FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 | |
| 6 |  GAS | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
Group 2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guaporé | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 22 | |
| 2 |  Porto Velho | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 9 | +24 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Araguaína | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 9 | +22 | 18 | |
| 4 |  Independência | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Galvez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Humaitá | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 50 | -46 | 0 |
Group 3
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gama | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 26 | |
| 2 |  Luverdense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Brasiliense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 | |
| 4 |  Aparecidense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Primavera MG | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Inhumas | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 1 |
Group 4
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Capital Brasilia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 23 | |
| 2 |  Goiatuba EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Ceilândia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Mixto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 5 |  União Rondonópolis | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 | |
| 6 |  CEOV Operário | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 5 |
Group 5
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trem | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 20 | |
| 2 |  Águia de Marabá | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Imperatriz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Tuna Luso | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Tocantinópolis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Oratório | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 4 |
Group 6
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iguatu | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 20 | |
| 2 |  Maracanã | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 19 | |
| 3 |  Parnahyba | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 | |
| 4 |  Sampaio Correa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Moto Club | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 | |
| 6 |  IAPE | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 4 |
Group 7
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferroviario | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Piauí | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Fluminense PI | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 14 | |
| 4 |  Altos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 | |
| 5 |  Tirol/CEFAT | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Uniclinic Atletico Clube | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 7 |
Group 8
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ABC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 23 | |
| 2 |  America-RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 21 | |
| 3 |  Maguary PE | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Central SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Sousa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Laguna | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 2 |
Group 9
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Treze | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 17 | |
| 2 |  Sergipe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Serra Branca | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Lagarto | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Retrô | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Decisão | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
Group 10
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSA | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Juazeirense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 17 | |
| 3 |  ASA | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Jacuipense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 | |
| 5 |  CSE | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 | |
| 6 |  Atlético Alagoinhas | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 5 |
Group 11
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Ipatinga | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 15 | |
| 3 |  CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 | |
| 5 |  ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Operario Ferroviario | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
Group 12
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Democrata GV | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 17 | |
| 2 |  Tombense | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Vitória ES | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Rio Branco ES | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Porto BA | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Real Noroeste | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
Group 13
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portuguesa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 21 | |
| 2 |  Água Santa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Portuguesa RJ | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 14 | |
| 4 |  América RJ | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Madureira | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 | |
| 6 |  Pouso Alegre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 7 |
Group 14
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  XV de Piracicaba | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 17 | |
| 2 |  Noroeste | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Velo Clube | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Sampaio Corrêa RJ | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Nova Iguaçu | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 6 |  CFRJ / Maricá | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
Group 15
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santa Catarina | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 19 | |
| 2 |  Cianorte | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Cascavel | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 15 | |
| 4 |  São Luiz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Joinville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 |  Guarany de Bagé | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 4 |
Group 16
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Blumenau | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 19 | |
| 2 |  Marcílio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Independiente FSJ | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Sao Jose | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Brasil DE Pelotas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 6 |  Azuriz | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
- Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Official Serie D table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's Serie D record
Not enough settled Serie D tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Serie D results
- 6 Sept · 21:00ASA0-2UberlandiaNo pick
- 4 Sept · 0:00CSA0-0Nacional AMNo pick
- 2 Sept · 23:00Goiatuba EC1-1Sao JoseHome or Draw✓
- 30 Aug · 21:00ABC1-1UberlandiaNo pick
- 30 Aug · 20:00Gama0-0ASANo pick
- 28 Aug · 1:00Nacional AM3-1CSANo pick
- 26 Aug · 23:00Sao Jose0-0Goiatuba ECNo pick
- 23 Aug · 21:00ASA2-0GamaNo pick
- 22 Aug · 21:00Uberlandia1-0ABCDraw✗
- 16 Aug · 21:00ASA1-1Goiatuba ECNo pick
About Serie D
Serie D is the fifth tier of Brazil football played across 16 groups. The 2026 season has produced 2.28 goals per game over 609 matches: both teams scored in 46%, 37% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 44% with 32% drawn. The table is published as Group 1, Group 2, Group 3, Group 4, Group 5, Group 6, Group 7, Group 8.
How the model handles Serie D
Every Serie D fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Serie D tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Serie D predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Serie D table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Serie D market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Serie D tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Serie D fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Serie D by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.