Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) predictions — FAW Championship, 1 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Carmarthen Town have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per game. Caerau (Ely) have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game.