Jong AZ vs MVV predictions — Eerste Divisie, 28 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Jong AZ have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 per game. MVV have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game.