Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal predictions — Primera División, 21 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Alianza Atletico have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Sporting Cristal have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game.