Brasiliense vs Primavera MG predictions — Serie D, 5 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Brasiliense have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Primavera MG have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 per game.