Gremio vs Confiança predictions — Copa do Brasil, 21 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Gremio have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.2 per game. Confiança have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 per game.