Gremio vs Deportivo Riestra predictions — CONMEBOL Sudamericana, 14 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Gremio have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.4 per game. Deportivo Riestra have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.2 and conceding 1.0 per game.