Bologna vs Aston Villa predictions — UEFA Europa League, 9 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Bologna have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Aston Villa have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game.