Luton vs Northampton predictions — EFL Trophy, 4 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Luton have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0 per game. Northampton have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game.