AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton predictions — EFL Trophy, 10 Feb

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. AFC Wimbledon have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game. Northampton have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per game.