Newcastle vs Qarabag predictions — UEFA Champions League, 24 Feb

Model's headline prediction

Newcastle favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Qarabag have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.0 per game. Newcastle have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game.