Gareji vs Aragvi Dusheti predictions — Erovnuli Liga 2, 15 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Gareji have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 per game. Aragvi Dusheti have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.6 per game.