Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions
Georgia · second tier · 10 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Erovnuli Liga 2 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Erovnuli Liga 2 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Erovnuli Liga 2 fixtures
- 12 Sept · 13:00Merani MartvilivAragvi DushetiNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 15:00GorivTelaviNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 16:00SionivKolkheti PotiOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 16:00SamtrediavGarejiNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 17:00ShturmivOdishi 1919No pick yet
- 16 Sept · 13:00GarejivGoriNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 13:00Merani MartvilivSioniNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 14:00Kolkheti PotivSamtrediaNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 16:00TelavivShturmiNo pick yet
- 16 Sept · 18:00Aragvi DushetivOdishi 1919No pick yet
Erovnuli Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gareji | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 20 | +12 | 47 | |
| 2 |  Telavi | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 40 | |
| 3 |  Shturmi | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 36 | |
| 4 |  Aragvi Dusheti | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 32 | |
| 5 |  Sioni | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 32 | |
| 6 |  Merani Martvili | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 31 | |
| 7 |  Samtredia | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 31 | |
| 8 |  Odishi 1919 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 | |
| 9 |  Gori | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 25 | |
| 10 |  Kolkheti Poti | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 23 |
- Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
- Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Promotion)
- Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
- Relegation - Liga 3
Official Erovnuli Liga 2 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's Erovnuli Liga 2 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 59.4% | 33.3% | -26.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 3 | 80.8% | 66.7% | -14.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 5 | 62.5% | 40.0% | -22.5 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Erovnuli Liga 2 matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Erovnuli Liga 2 results
- 7 Sept · 17:00Telavi0-3SamtrediaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Aragvi Dusheti3-4ShturmiNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Kolkheti Poti2-0Merani MartviliOver 2.5✗
- 6 Sept · 13:30Odishi 19192-3GoriNo pick
- 6 Sept · 13:30Gareji3-3SioniOver 2.5✓
- 30 Aug · 14:30Kolkheti Poti1-1Aragvi DushetiOver 2.5✗
- 29 Aug · 17:00Gori3-1ShturmiNo pick
- 29 Aug · 16:00Sioni2-1TelaviHome or Draw✓
- 29 Aug · 13:30Merani Martvili1-2GarejiNo pick
- 28 Aug · 16:00Samtredia3-0Odishi 1919No pick
About Erovnuli Liga 2
Erovnuli Liga 2 is the second tier of Georgia football with 10 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.37 goals per game over 120 matches: both teams scored in 51%, 41% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 48% with 29% drawn. Gareji lead the table on 47 points from 24 games.
How the model handles Erovnuli Liga 2
Every Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 11 Erovnuli Liga 2 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 66.6% on average and landing 45.5%. Its best-calibrated Erovnuli Liga 2 market so far is over 2.5 (62.5% claimed against 40.0% hit over 5 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Erovnuli Liga 2 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Erovnuli Liga 2 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Erovnuli Liga 2 tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 62.5% claimed against 40.0% hit over 5 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Erovnuli Liga 2 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Erovnuli Liga 2 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.