Monterey Bay vs Birmingham Legion predictions — USL Championship, 24 May

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Monterey Bay have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per game. Birmingham Legion have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game.