Arouca vs AVS predictions — Primeira Liga, 9 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Arouca favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. AVS have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.6 per game. The last 3 meetings produced 2 Arouca wins, 0 AVS wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals.