Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major predictions — FAW Championship, 20 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Afan Lido have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. Llantwit Major have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 per game.