Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV predictions — Bundesliga, 18 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Werder Bremen have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 per game. Hamburger SV have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game.