Lille vs Metz predictions — Ligue 1, 26 Oct

Model's headline prediction

Lille favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Metz have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 4.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Lille wins, 0 Metz wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals.