Ajax vs Utrecht predictions — Eredivisie, 10 May

Model's headline prediction

Ajax favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Utrecht have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 Ajax wins, 3 Utrecht wins and 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals.