Utrecht vs NAC Breda predictions — Eredivisie, 2 May

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Utrecht have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6 per game. NAC Breda have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.4 per game.