Toluca vs Necaxa predictions — Liga MX, 13 Jul

Model's headline prediction

Toluca have won 4 of their last 5 at home, scoring 2.2 per game. Necaxa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Toluca wins, 0 Necaxa wins and 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals.