Tottenham vs Manchester City predictions — Premier League, 1 Feb

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Tottenham have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game. Manchester City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game.