Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora predictions — Primera División, 27 May

Model's headline prediction

Independiente Petrolero favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Aurora have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.2 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 Independiente Petrolero wins, 3 Aurora wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals.