Alga vs Neftchi predictions — Premier League, 27 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Neftchi rated above the home side on form and Elo. Alga have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Alga win, 4 Neftchi wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals.