Super Nova vs Tukums predictions — Virsliga, 16 May

Model's headline prediction

Super Nova favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Tukums have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Super Nova win, 4 Tukums wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals.