Manchester City vs Plymouth predictions — FA Cup, 1 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Manchester City favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Plymouth have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Manchester City have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.