Barcelona SC vs Emelec predictions — Liga Pro, 18 May

Model's headline prediction

Barcelona SC favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Emelec have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 Barcelona SC wins, 1 Emelec win and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals.