Once Municipal vs Alianza predictions — Primera Division, 3 May

Model's headline prediction

Alianza rated above the home side on form and Elo. Once Municipal have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Once Municipal win, 3 Alianza wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals.