Dragón vs Alianza predictions — Primera Division, 30 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Alianza rated above the home side on form and Elo. Dragón have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Dragón win, 4 Alianza wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals.