Louisville City vs Lexington predictions — USL Championship, 2 May

Model's headline prediction

Louisville City have won 5 of their last 5 at home, scoring 2.2 per game. Lexington have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 per game. The last 2 meetings produced 2 Louisville City wins, 0 Lexington wins and 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals.