New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls predictions — Major League Soccer, 17 May

Model's headline prediction

New York City FC favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. New York Red Bulls have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 New York City FC wins, 3 New York Red Bulls wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals.