FC Porto vs Arouca predictions — Primeira Liga, 29 Sept

Model's headline prediction

FC Porto have won 5 of their last 5 at home, scoring 3.0 per game. Arouca have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 FC Porto wins, 1 Arouca win and 1 draw, averaging 3.3 goals.