Cagliari vs Monza predictions — Serie A, 30 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Cagliari favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Monza have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 3.4 per game. The last 3 meetings produced 1 Cagliari win, 1 Monza win and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals.