Dumbarton vs Arbroath predictions — League One, 4 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Arbroath rated above the home side on form and Elo. Dumbarton have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.4 per game. The last 2 meetings produced 1 Dumbarton win, 0 Arbroath wins and 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals.