Middlesbrough vs Derby predictions — Championship, 1 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Middlesbrough favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Derby have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 Middlesbrough wins, 2 Derby wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals.