De Graafschap vs Jong AZ predictions — Eerste Divisie, 21 Feb

Model's headline prediction

De Graafschap favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Jong AZ have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 De Graafschap wins, 1 Jong AZ win and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals.