Aston Villa vs Everton predictions — Premier League, 14 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Aston Villa favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Everton have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Aston Villa wins, 1 Everton win and 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals.