Leicester vs Aston Villa predictions — Premier League, 31 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Leicester favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Aston Villa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 Leicester wins, 3 Aston Villa wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.7 goals.