1. Lig predictions
Turkey · second tier · 20 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 1. Lig match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 1. Lig in the Bet Finder.
This week's 1. Lig fixtures
- 11 Sept · 18:00SarıyervBandırmasporNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 15:00BolusporvPendiksporNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 15:00Vanspor FKvKeçiörengücüNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 18:00Bodrum FKvBatman PetrolsporNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 18:00ÜmraniyesporvAntalyasporNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:00Iğdır FKvMardin 1969No pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:00SivassporvMuğlasporNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 18:00BursasporvEsenler EroksporNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 18:00Fatih KaragümrükvManisa F.K.Over 2.5Moderate
- 14 Sept · 18:00KayserisporvİstanbulsporNo pick yet
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Batman Petrolspor | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 16 | |
| 2 |  Bursaspor | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Kayserispor | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Mardin 1969 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Iğdır FK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Keçiörengücü | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Sarıyer | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Bandırmaspor | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 9 | |
| 9 |  Muğlaspor | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Manisa F.K. | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 8 | |
| 11 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Pendikspor | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | |
| 13 |  Sivasspor | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | |
| 14 |  Antalyaspor | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 | |
| 15 |  Vanspor FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 | |
| 16 |  Bodrum FK | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 17 |  Esenler Erokspor | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 | |
| 18 |  Ümraniyespor | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | |
| 19 |  İstanbulspor | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 | |
| 20 |  Boluspor | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
- Promotion - Super Lig
- Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
- Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
- Relegation
Official 1. Lig table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's 1. Lig record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 61.5% | 50.0% | -11.5 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 82.9% | 50.0% | -32.9 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 57.7% | 100.0% | +42.3 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled 1. Lig matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 1. Lig results
- 7 Sept · 18:00Mardin 19691-0Bodrum FKNo pick
- 7 Sept · 18:00Manisa F.K.1-2BursasporNo pick
- 7 Sept · 15:00İstanbulspor1-2Iğdır FKNo pick
- 7 Sept · 15:00Esenler Erokspor0-3KayserisporNo pick
- 6 Sept · 18:00Muğlaspor2-2Vanspor FKNo pick
- 6 Sept · 18:00Batman Petrolspor4-3Fatih KaragümrükNo pick
- 6 Sept · 18:00Antalyaspor1-2SivassporNo pick
- 5 Sept · 18:00Pendikspor1-0ÜmraniyesporNo pick
- 5 Sept · 18:00Keçiörengücü3-0SarıyerNo pick
- 5 Sept · 14:00Bandırmaspor6-0BolusporHome or Draw✓
About 1. Lig
1. Lig is the second tier of Turkey football with 20 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.65 goals per game over 60 matches: both teams scored in 50%, 48% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 38% with 32% drawn. Batman Petrolspor lead the table on 16 points from 6 games.
How the model handles 1. Lig
Every 1. Lig fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 5 1. Lig tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 69.3% on average and landing 60.0%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 1. Lig predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 1. Lig table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 1. Lig market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled 1. Lig tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are 1. Lig fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 1. Lig by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.