Allsvenskan predictions
Sweden · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 31 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Allsvenskan match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Allsvenskan in the Bet Finder.
This week's Allsvenskan fixtures
- 1 Nov · 13:00Djurgardens IFvDegerfors IFHome or DrawStrong
- 1 Nov · 13:00Malmo FFvHammarby FFNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 15:30IF ElfsborgvOrgryte ISHome or DrawSolid
- 1 Nov · 15:30BK HackenvIFK GoteborgOver 2.5Moderate
- 1 Nov · 15:30Vasteras SK FKvIF BrommapojkarnaNo pick yet
- 2 Nov · 18:00GaisvAIK StockholmNo pick yet
- 2 Nov · 18:00Mjallby AIFvKalmar FFNo pick yet
- 3 Nov · 18:00SiriusvHalmstadHome or DrawStrong
- 6 Nov · 18:00Hammarby FFvIF ElfsborgNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:30Degerfors IFvGaisNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:30Orgryte ISvVasteras SK FKNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 13:00IFK GoteborgvMalmo FFNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 13:00HalmstadvDjurgardens IFNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 15:30AIK StockholmvBK HackenNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 15:30IF BrommapojkarnavMjallby AIFNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 15:30Kalmar FFvSiriusNo pick yet
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 56 | 34 | +22 | 55 | |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 54 | 21 | +33 | 52 | |
| 3 |  Djurgardens IF | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 24 | +29 | 49 | |
| 4 |  BK Hacken | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 47 | 30 | +17 | 46 | |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 39 | 26 | +13 | 43 | |
| 6 |  Vasteras SK FK | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 38 | +1 | 41 | |
| 7 |  Malmo FF | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 40 | |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 38 | |
| 9 |  IFK Goteborg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 | |
| 10 |  Gais | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 26 | +6 | 34 | |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 34 | |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 | |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 22 | |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 20 | |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 19 | |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 49 | -31 | 17 |
- Qualifying
- Qualifying
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official Allsvenskan table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-31.
This season in numbers
The model's Allsvenskan record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 19 | 67.1% | 73.7% | +6.6 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 18 | 84.9% | 83.3% | -1.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 4 | 53.0% | 75.0% | +22.0 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 4 | 75.9% | 75.0% | -0.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 25 | 62.6% | 68.0% | +5.4 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Allsvenskan matches since 3 Augwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Allsvenskan results
- 29 Oct · 18:00Orgryte IS1-2Mjallby AIFOver 2.5✓
- 29 Oct · 18:00Kalmar FF0-1GaisAway or Draw✓
- 29 Oct · 17:30Hammarby FF2-0SiriusNo pick
- 28 Oct · 18:00Halmstad0-3Malmo FFAway or Draw✓
- 28 Oct · 18:00IFK Goteborg1-1Djurgardens IFAway or Draw✓
- 28 Oct · 18:00Degerfors IF0-3Vasteras SK FKNo pick
- 28 Oct · 18:00IF Brommapojkarna0-0BK HackenNo pick
- 27 Oct · 18:00AIK Stockholm2-2IF ElfsborgOver 2.5✓
- 25 Oct · 15:30Mjallby AIF0-2Hammarby FFNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:00Gais1-1IFK GoteborgNo pick
About Allsvenskan
Allsvenskan is the top flight of Sweden football with 16 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.89 goals per game over 208 matches: both teams scored in 51%, 53% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 24% drawn. Sirius lead the table on 55 points from 26 games.
How the model handles Allsvenskan
Every Allsvenskan fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 169+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 3 Aug, the model has settled 70 Allsvenskan tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 69.8% on average and landing 74.3%. Its best-calibrated Allsvenskan market so far is home or draw (84.9% claimed against 83.3% hit over 18 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Allsvenskan predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Allsvenskan table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Allsvenskan market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Allsvenskan tips since 3 Aug, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 84.9% claimed against 83.3% hit over 18 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Allsvenskan fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. The exact probabilities are on each fixture page. To filter Allsvenskan by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.