Allsvenskan predictions
Sweden · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 15 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Allsvenskan match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Allsvenskan in the Bet Finder.
This week's Allsvenskan fixtures
- 16 Sept · 18:00AIK StockholmvMjallby AIFNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 14:00IF BrommapojkarnavIFK GoteborgNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 14:00Vasteras SK FKvMalmo FFNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 16:30Orgryte ISvSiriusNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 13:00Djurgardens IFvIF ElfsborgNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 13:00HalmstadvAIK StockholmNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 13:00Kalmar FFvBK HackenNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 15:30Degerfors IFvHammarby FFNo pick yet
- 20 Sept · 15:30Mjallby AIFvGaisNo pick yet
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 27 | +23 | 48 | |
| 2 |  Djurgardens IF | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 19 | +27 | 41 | |
| 3 |  Hammarby FF | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 40 | |
| 4 |  IF Elfsborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | +8 | 34 | |
| 5 |  Malmo FF | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 31 | +6 | 33 | |
| 6 |  BK Hacken | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 33 | |
| 7 |  AIK Stockholm | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 32 | |
| 8 |  Vasteras SK FK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 32 | |
| 9 |  IFK Goteborg | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 | |
| 10 |  Gais | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 27 | |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 27 | |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 21 | |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 | |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 | |
| 15 |  Orgryte IS | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 15 | |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 11 |
- Qualifying
- Qualifying
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official Allsvenskan table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-15.
This season in numbers
The model's Allsvenskan record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 19 | 64.1% | 57.9% | -6.2 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 15 | 84.1% | 80.0% | -4.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 17 | 62.5% | 58.8% | -3.7 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Allsvenskan matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Allsvenskan results
- 14 Sept · 18:00Sirius2-0Degerfors IFHome or Draw✓
- 14 Sept · 18:00Djurgardens IF2-0GaisHome or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 15:30Malmo FF4-1Orgryte ISHome or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 13:00Hammarby FF3-1IF BrommapojkarnaOver 2.5✓
- 13 Sept · 13:00IF Elfsborg1-0Kalmar FFOver 2.5✗
- 12 Sept · 16:30IFK Goteborg2-1HalmstadNo pick
- 12 Sept · 14:00AIK Stockholm1-4Vasteras SK FKHome or Draw✗
- 11 Sept · 18:00BK Hacken1-1Mjallby AIFOver 2.5✗
- 7 Sept · 18:00Mjallby AIF1-4IFK GoteborgNo pick
- 7 Sept · 18:00Malmo FF0-0AIK StockholmOver 2.5✗
About Allsvenskan
Allsvenskan is the top flight of Sweden football with 16 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.96 goals per game over 167 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 54% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 24% drawn. Sirius lead the table on 48 points from 21 games.
How the model handles Allsvenskan
Every Allsvenskan fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 51 Allsvenskan tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 69.4% on average and landing 64.7%. Its best-calibrated Allsvenskan market so far is over 2.5 (62.5% claimed against 58.8% hit over 17 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Allsvenskan predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Allsvenskan table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Allsvenskan market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Allsvenskan tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 62.5% claimed against 58.8% hit over 17 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Allsvenskan fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Allsvenskan by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.