K3 League predictions
South Korea · third tier · 14 teams · table updated 13 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every K3 League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter K3 League in the Bet Finder.
This week's K3 League fixtures
- 31 Oct · 5:00ChuncheonvBusan TransportationNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 5:00Dangjin CitizenvSiheung CitizenNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 5:00Gangneung CityvYangpyeongNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 5:00Yeoju SejongvGyeongju HNPNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 5:00Jeonbuk Motors IIvPocheonNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 5:00Mokpo CityvDaejeon KorailNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 5:00Ulsan CitizenvChangwon CityNo pick yet
K3 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Siheung Citizen | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 22 | +16 | 55 | |
| 2 |  Pocheon | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41 | 20 | +21 | 49 | |
| 3 |  Daejeon Korail | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 19 | +14 | 41 | |
| 4 |  Busan Transportation | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 40 | |
| 5 |  Gyeongju HNP | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 36 | |
| 6 |  Dangjin Citizen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47 | 39 | +8 | 34 | |
| 7 |  Chuncheon | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 37 | +5 | 33 | |
| 8 |  Gangneung City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 | |
| 9 |  Changwon City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 | |
| 10 |  Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 | |
| 11 |  Yeoju Sejong | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 | |
| 12 |  Mokpo City | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 25 | |
| 13 |  Yangpyeong | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 20 | |
| 14 |  Jeonbuk Motors II | 24 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 10 |
Official K3 League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-13.
This season in numbers
The model's K3 League record
Not enough settled K3 League tips since 27 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent K3 League results
- 11 Oct · 6:00Gyeongju HNP1-1Mokpo CityNo pick
- 11 Oct · 6:00Gangneung City2-1Siheung CitizenNo pick
- 10 Oct · 11:00Daejeon Korail0-1Dangjin CitizenNo pick
- 10 Oct · 6:00Busan Transportation2-1Yeoju SejongNo pick
- 10 Oct · 6:00Chuncheon3-2Jeonbuk Motors IIOver 2.5✓
- 10 Oct · 6:00Changwon City1-3PocheonNo pick
- 9 Oct · 6:00Yangpyeong2-1Ulsan CitizenNo pick
- 4 Oct · 6:00Mokpo City3-1Busan TransportationNo pick
- 4 Oct · 6:00Dangjin Citizen2-3Gyeongju HNPNo pick
- 3 Oct · 9:00Ulsan Citizen1-2Siheung CitizenAway or Draw✓
About K3 League
K3 League is the third tier of South Korea football with 14 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.73 goals per game over 168 matches: both teams scored in 60%, 49% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 41% with 27% drawn. Siheung Citizen lead the table on 55 points from 24 games.
How the model handles K3 League
Every K3 League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 27 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled K3 League tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these K3 League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the K3 League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which K3 League market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled K3 League tips since 27 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are K3 League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter K3 League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.