K League 1 predictions
South Korea · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every K League 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter K League 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's K League 1 fixtures
No K League 1 fixtures in the next 7 days.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Seoul | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 61 | 29 | +32 | 67 | |
| 2 |  Ulsan Hyundai FC | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 51 | |
| 3 |  Daejeon Citizen | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 41 | +12 | 49 | |
| 4 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 33 | +10 | 48 | |
| 5 |  Gangwon FC | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 40 | 30 | +10 | 48 | |
| 6 |  Incheon United | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 | |
| 7 |  Jeju United FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 46 | |
| 8 |  FC Anyang | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 | |
| 9 |  Pohang Steelers | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 42 | |
| 10 |  Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 33 | 5 | 19 | 9 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 | |
| 11 |  Bucheon FC 1995 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 32 | |
| 12 |  Gwangju FC | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 69 | -39 | 21 |
- Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
- K League 1 (Relegation Group)
Official K League 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's K League 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 4 | 58.8% | 25.0% | -33.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 52.3% | 100.0% | +47.7 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 75.8% | 100.0% | +24.2 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 6 | 59.3% | 83.3% | +24.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled K League 1 matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent K League 1 results
- 24 Oct · 6:00Ulsan Hyundai FC2-2Pohang SteelersHome Win✗
- 24 Oct · 6:00FC Seoul1-1Gangwon FCNo pick
- 24 Oct · 6:00Incheon United3-1Jeju United FCNo pick
- 24 Oct · 6:00Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-2Daejeon CitizenNo pick
- 24 Oct · 6:00Bucheon FC 19950-3Gwangju FCNo pick
- 24 Oct · 6:00FC Anyang1-1Jeonbuk MotorsNo pick
- 18 Oct · 8:30Pohang Steelers0-0FC AnyangNo pick
- 18 Oct · 8:30Gangwon FC1-1Incheon UnitedNo pick
- 18 Oct · 8:30FC Seoul2-2Gimcheon Sangmu FCNo pick
- 18 Oct · 6:00Jeonbuk Motors3-2Jeju United FCNo pick
About K League 1
K League 1 is the top flight of South Korea football with 12 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.51 goals per game over 198 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 47% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 32% with 34% drawn. FC Seoul lead the table on 67 points from 33 games.
How the model handles K League 1
Every K League 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 12 K League 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 59.9% on average and landing 66.6%. Its best-calibrated K League 1 market so far is over 2.5 (59.3% claimed against 83.3% hit over 6 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these K League 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the K League 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which K League 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled K League 1 tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.3% claimed against 83.3% hit over 6 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are K League 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter K League 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.