Pro League predictions
Saudi Arabia · top flight · 18 teams · table updated 15 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Pro League fixtures
No Pro League fixtures in the next 7 days.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 16 | |
| 5 |  NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 15 | |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Al-Ettifaq | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 |  Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Al-Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 |  Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | |
| 15 |  Al-Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | |
| 16 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 | |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
- Relegation - Division 1
Official Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-15.
This season in numbers
The model's Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 13 | 69.6% | 76.9% | +7.3 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 14 | 86.5% | 92.9% | +6.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 11 | 64.0% | 63.6% | -0.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 11 | 81.4% | 81.8% | +0.4 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 17 | 62.0% | 70.6% | +8.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Pro League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Pro League results
- 13 Sept · 19:00Al Riyadh2-0Al KholoodNo pick
- 13 Sept · 19:00Al Diriyah0-0AbhaHome or Draw✓
- 13 Sept · 17:20NEOM4-2Al-FatehNo pick
- 12 Sept · 19:00Al Shabab0-0Al-FayhaNo pick
- 12 Sept · 19:00Al Khaleej Saihat1-1Al-NassrAway or Draw✓
- 12 Sept · 16:50Al Taawon0-6Al-Hilal Saudi FCAway or Draw✓
- 11 Sept · 19:00Al-Ahli Jeddah3-1Al-HazmHome or Draw✓
- 11 Sept · 16:45Al-Faisaly FC1-3Al-Ittihad FCAway or Draw✓
- 11 Sept · 16:25Al-Qadisiyah FC3-3Al-EttifaqHome or Draw✓
- 9 Sept · 19:00Al-Nassr2-1AbhaHome or Draw✓
About Pro League
Pro League is the top flight of Saudi Arabia football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.76 goals per game over 63 matches: both teams scored in 49%, 54% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 38% with 30% drawn. Al-Hilal Saudi FC lead the table on 18 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Pro League
Every Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 66 Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.3% on average and landing 77.3%. Its best-calibrated Pro League market so far is away or draw (81.4% claimed against 81.8% hit over 11 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Pro League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away or draw: 81.4% claimed against 81.8% hit over 11 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.