Pro League predictions
Saudi Arabia · top flight · 18 teams · table updated 30 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Pro League fixtures
- 5 Nov · 17:00AbhavAl ShababNo pick yet
- 5 Nov · 17:00Al-Ahli JeddahvAl TaawonNo pick yet
- 5 Nov · 17:00Al-EttifaqvAl-Hilal Saudi FCNo pick yet
- 5 Nov · 17:00Al-Faisaly FCvAl DiriyahNo pick yet
- 5 Nov · 17:00Al-FatehvAl RiyadhNo pick yet
- 5 Nov · 17:00Al-HazmvAl-NassrNo pick yet
- 5 Nov · 17:00Al-Ittihad FCvNEOMNo pick yet
- 5 Nov · 17:00Al KholoodvAl Khaleej SaihatNo pick yet
- 5 Nov · 17:00Al-Qadisiyah FCvAl-FayhaNo pick yet
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 12 | +20 | 28 | |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 11 | +17 | 28 | |
| 3 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 9 | +21 | 27 | |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 24 | |
| 5 |  NEOM | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 22 | |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 21 | |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 18 | |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 | |
| 9 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 | |
| 10 |  Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 14 | |
| 11 |  Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 | |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 12 | |
| 13 |  Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 10 | |
| 14 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 6 | |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 4 | |
| 18 |  Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 3 |
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
- Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
- Relegation - Division 1
Official Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-30.
This season in numbers
The model's Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 24 | 69.6% | 83.3% | +13.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 25 | 86.6% | 96.0% | +9.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 19 | 63.0% | 68.4% | +5.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 19 | 81.5% | 84.2% | +2.7 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 28 | 62.7% | 67.9% | +5.2 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Pro League matches since 3 Augwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Pro League results
- 31 Oct · 18:00Al-Hilal Saudi FC2-0Al-FatehHome or Draw✓
- 31 Oct · 14:55Al-Fayha4-1Al-Faisaly FCNo pick
- 31 Oct · 13:30Al Taawon1-1Al-EttifaqNo pick
- 30 Oct · 18:00Al Shabab6-1Al-Ahli JeddahAway or Draw✗
- 30 Oct · 14:50Al Diriyah1-2NEOMNo pick
- 30 Oct · 12:30Abha1-1Al-Ittihad FCAway or Draw✓
- 29 Oct · 18:00Al Riyadh0-6Al-Qadisiyah FCAway or Draw✓
- 29 Oct · 18:00Al-Nassr5-3Al KholoodHome or Draw✓
- 29 Oct · 14:35Al Khaleej Saihat4-2Al-HazmNo pick
- 27 Oct · 12:40Abha0-1Al-Faisaly FCNo pick
About Pro League
Pro League is the top flight of Saudi Arabia football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.03 goals per game over 104 matches: both teams scored in 54%, 57% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 40% with 26% drawn. Al-Qadisiyah FC lead the table on 28 points from 12 games.
How the model handles Pro League
Every Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 169+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 3 Aug, the model has settled 115 Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.5% on average and landing 80.0%. Its best-calibrated Pro League market so far is away or draw (81.5% claimed against 84.2% hit over 19 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Pro League tips since 3 Aug, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away or draw: 81.5% claimed against 84.2% hit over 19 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. The exact probabilities are on each fixture page. To filter Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.